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Red74
519718.6
590131.0
361910.1
Blue104
309626.1
222438.4
553219.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5880204010012014074104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+34
Endgame+24
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +31
11Coral scored#17
39Coral points60
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
49Total teleop80
Reef
5L4#7
2L3#6
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points6
74Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5901
#24
31.01.2
29.831.0
Auto2.3
Teleop23.9
End4.8
blue by 7.5
2224
#12
38.41.7
35.737.4
Auto4.5
Teleop32.7
End1.2
Second
5197
#16
18.61.2
15.416.7
Auto4.9
Teleop10.9
End2.8
blue by 7.5
3096
#25
26.11.7
22.924.5
Auto3.5
Teleop21.4
End1.2
Third
3619
#33
10.11.2
10.311.5
Auto3.3
Teleop5.0
End1.8
blue by 9.0
5532
#10
19.11.7
14.215.9
Auto4.7
Teleop12.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed