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Red70
476818.1
485414.9
439011.4
Blue140
553047.6
785620.2
569531.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42113010015070140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+60
Endgame+70
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points20
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +46
9Coral scored#17
34Coral points60
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#4
12Processor points24
8Net points16
20Algae points40
54Total teleop100
Reef
3L4#9
4L3#8
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
0Foul points0
70Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4768
#20
18.10.7
18.419.1
Auto3.5
Teleop11.5
End3.0
blue by 29.5
5530
#11
47.62.2
45.147.3
Auto11.4
Teleop32.4
End3.8
Second
4854
#34
14.90.7
12.713.4
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End1.3
blue by 16.9
31.82.2
29.431.6
Auto5.0
Teleop22.3
End4.5
Third
4390
#37
11.40.7
10.711.4
Auto4.3
Teleop6.8
End0.4
blue by 8.8
7856
#18
20.22.2
18.120.2
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned