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Red93
363226.4
440543.2
475816.2
Blue88
786519.5
836227.4
817933.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions878040601001201409388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+15Teleop
+3Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave6
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points16
23Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +14
13Coral scored#9
46Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
64Total teleop50
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#2
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
2Foul points0
93Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.7
40.040.8
Auto12.1
Teleop24.8
End6.3
red by 9.6
8179
#21
33.60.8
31.532.3
Auto3.6
Teleop25.0
End5.0
Second
3632
#31
26.40.7
24.425.1
Auto2.6
Teleop22.3
End1.5
blue by 1.0
8362
#19
27.40.8
26.627.4
Auto7.4
Teleop17.5
End2.5
Third
4758
#26
16.20.7
15.516.2
Auto3.2
Teleop10.9
End2.1
blue by 3.3
7865
#30
19.50.8
17.418.2
Auto5.6
Teleop11.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsEarned