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Red45
1057715.5
765635.0
20487.3
Blue97
771622.2
25916.8
296047.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65810501001502004597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+42
Endgame+52
Fouls+52
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +45
4Coral scored#15
16Coral points55
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
20Total teleop65
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
8Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points0
45Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.01.5
36.134.6
Auto6.9
Teleop19.0
End9.1
blue by 12.8
47.81.3
45.647.0
Auto7.7
Teleop31.3
End8.8
Second
15.51.5
16.715.2
Auto5.4
Teleop8.6
End1.5
blue by 6.7
7716
#32
22.21.3
20.822.2
Auto4.3
Teleop16.5
End1.3
Third
2048
#13
7.31.5
8.87.3
Auto4.4
Teleop1.9
End0.9
red by 0.5
2591
#28
6.81.3
5.56.8
Auto2.8
Teleop1.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned