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Red139
714517.9
661560.9
222438.4
Blue152
553219.1
519718.6
170164.4
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311056080120140160180200139152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+15
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points24
23Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +5
21Coral scored#25
76Coral points89
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
18Processor points6
12Net points16
30Algae points22
106Total teleop111
Reef
10L4#8
8L3#11
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#5
30Game pieces#35
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
6Foul points6
139Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.90.2
60.360.1
Auto12.8
Teleop46.2
End2.0
blue by 3.5
64.42.0
62.064.0
Auto21.5
Teleop39.0
End3.9
Second
2224
#12
38.40.2
37.437.2
Auto4.5
Teleop32.7
End1.2
red by 19.3
5532
#10
19.12.0
15.917.9
Auto4.7
Teleop12.8
End1.6
Third
7145
#22
17.90.2
15.715.5
Auto2.2
Teleop12.5
End3.2
blue by 0.8
5197
#16
18.62.0
16.718.6
Auto4.9
Teleop10.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned