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Red76
476818.1
553047.6
575623.4
Blue71
60964.5
835228.9
925226.6
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1065602040801201401607671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+7Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
3Leave6
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
20Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +2
10Coral scored#11
36Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
54Total teleop52
Reef
5L4#6
2L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
76Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5530
#11
47.61.0
47.346.3
Auto11.4
Teleop32.4
End3.8
red by 18.7
8352
#14
28.91.0
27.628.6
Auto5.7
Teleop21.8
End1.3
Second
23.41.0
24.323.3
Auto5.7
Teleop15.0
End2.6
blue by 3.3
9252
#27
26.61.0
24.825.8
Auto7.5
Teleop17.0
End2.2
Third
4768
#20
18.11.0
19.118.1
Auto3.5
Teleop11.5
End3.0
red by 13.6
6096
#39
4.51.0
3.54.5
Auto3.3
Teleop0.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed