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Red142
661560.9
925226.6
296047.8
Blue132
222438.4
363226.4
817933.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1529950200250142132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+4
+8Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
9Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
18Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +6
16Coral scored#22
58Coral points80
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
24Processor points12
24Net points20
48Algae points32
106Total teleop112
Reef
8L4#10
3L3#5
3L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#32
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +10
2Foul points0
142Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.90.1
60.160.0
Auto12.8
Teleop46.2
End2.0
red by 22.5
2224
#12
38.40.6
37.237.8
Auto4.5
Teleop32.7
End1.2
Second
47.80.1
47.046.9
Auto7.7
Teleop31.3
End8.8
red by 14.2
8179
#21
33.60.6
32.333.0
Auto3.6
Teleop25.0
End5.0
Third
9252
#27
26.60.1
25.825.7
Auto7.5
Teleop17.0
End2.2
red by 0.2
3632
#31
26.40.6
25.125.8
Auto2.6
Teleop22.3
End1.5