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Red116
222438.4
363226.4
817933.6
Blue79
569531.8
1057715.5
835228.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109805010015020011679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+29Teleop
+39Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +33
17Coral scored#11
61Coral points40
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
93Total teleop60
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#3
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points2
116Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2224
#12
38.40.4
37.838.2
Auto4.5
Teleop32.7
End1.2
red by 6.6
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto5.0
Teleop22.3
End4.5
Second
8179
#21
33.60.4
33.033.4
Auto3.6
Teleop25.0
End5.0
red by 4.7
8352
#14
28.90.0
28.928.9
Auto5.7
Teleop21.8
End1.3
Third
3632
#31
26.40.4
25.826.2
Auto2.6
Teleop22.3
End1.5
red by 10.9
15.50.0
15.415.5
Auto5.4
Teleop8.6
End1.5