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Red96
590131.0
553219.1
267330.4
Blue71
575623.4
309626.1
661621.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88790501001502009671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+23Teleop
+23Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +20
13Coral scored#12
48Coral points44
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
78Total teleop58
Reef
4L4#5
5L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +25
2Foul points0
96Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5901
#24
31.00.4
29.730.1
Auto2.3
Teleop23.9
End4.8
red by 4.8
3096
#25
26.10.0
26.226.1
Auto3.5
Teleop21.4
End1.2
Second
2673
#15
30.40.4
29.129.5
Auto4.3
Teleop23.5
End2.5
red by 7.0
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto5.7
Teleop15.0
End2.6
Third
5532
#10
19.10.4
17.918.2
Auto4.7
Teleop12.8
End1.6
blue by 2.6
6616
#17
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto2.8
Teleop18.0
End1.0