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Red173
661560.9
925226.6
296047.8
Blue167
440543.2
714517.9
557746.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15811450100200250173167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave9
8Coral scored#4
40Coral points21
40Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +4
25Coral scored#20
89Coral points73
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#8
18Processor points18
12Net points32
30Algae points50
119Total teleop123
Reef
13L4#10
8L3#6
7L2#6
5L1 · trough#2
39Game pieces#35
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
173Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.90.5
60.060.5
Auto12.8
Teleop46.2
End2.0
red by 14.9
46.11.0
43.644.6
Auto8.6
Teleop35.1
End2.4
Second
47.80.5
46.947.3
Auto7.7
Teleop31.3
End8.8
red by 4.6
43.21.0
40.741.7
Auto12.1
Teleop24.8
End6.3
Third
9252
#27
26.60.5
25.726.2
Auto7.5
Teleop17.0
End2.2
red by 8.8
7145
#22
17.91.0
15.416.4
Auto2.2
Teleop12.5
End3.2