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Red103
363214.5
468030.6
835219.6
Blue80
46941.6
965112.5
719627.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions649520408012014016010380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
+19Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousBlue +20
6Leave9
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
6Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +39
21Coral scored#12
77Coral points42
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
12Processor points0
4Net points12
16Algae points12
93Total teleop54
Reef
8L4#5
4L3#5
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#18
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
103Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4680
#21
30.60.8
29.029.9
Auto2.7
Teleop26.9
End1.0
blue by 11.0
469
#1
41.60.1
41.541.4
Auto9.7
Teleop28.9
End3.0
Second
19.60.8
17.918.8
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End1.3
blue by 8.2
27.70.1
27.627.5
Auto6.0
Teleop20.7
End1.0
Third
3632
#31
14.50.9
12.713.6
Auto1.6
Teleop11.1
End1.8
red by 2.1
9651
#16
12.50.1
12.312.2
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End1.5