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Red98
363214.5
468030.6
835219.6
Blue91
46941.6
965112.5
719627.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6794204060801201401609891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
15Coral scored#13
54Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#6
12Processor points6
20Net points24
32Algae points30
86Total teleop76
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
98Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4680
#21
30.60.8
29.930.6
Auto2.7
Teleop26.9
End1.0
blue by 11.0
469
#1
41.60.2
41.441.6
Auto9.7
Teleop28.9
End3.0
Second
19.60.8
18.819.6
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End1.3
blue by 8.2
27.70.2
27.527.7
Auto6.0
Teleop20.7
End1.0
Third
3632
#31
14.50.9
13.614.5
Auto1.6
Teleop11.1
End1.8
red by 2.1
9651
#16
12.50.2
12.212.5
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End1.5