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Red42
819323.9
587821.9
36196.7
Blue28
25916.6
691413.2
925519.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7661020401001201404228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+6Teleop
+2Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +3
3Coral scored#3
12Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
18Total teleop15
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
12Foul points0
42Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.92.2
25.623.4
Auto3.4
Teleop18.7
End1.9
red by 4.5
9255
#23
19.41.7
12.811.1
Auto3.1
Teleop14.9
End1.4
Second
21.92.2
19.917.7
Auto3.8
Teleop17.1
End1.0
red by 8.7
6914
#15
13.22.9
21.418.5
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End1.2
Third
3619
#32
6.73.7
15.011.2
Auto1.8
Teleop3.5
End1.4
red by 0.1
2591
#39
6.62.9
17.014.2
Auto1.9
Teleop4.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed