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Red3
65675.4
60966.2
519710.7
Blue34
965112.5
786518.6
468030.6
39%Model gave it61%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46620100150334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+29
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +26
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points16
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
0Total teleop26
Reef
0L4#2
0L3#1
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
0Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
3Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5197
#34
10.74.2
17.313.1
Auto3.7
Teleop5.6
End1.3
blue by 19.9
4680
#21
30.61.1
23.422.2
Auto2.7
Teleop26.9
End1.0
Second
6096
#36
6.24.2
15.211.0
Auto2.9
Teleop2.0
End1.3
blue by 12.4
7865
#17
18.61.9
14.913.1
Auto3.2
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Third
6567
#27
5.42.5
8.25.7
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End1.7
blue by 7.1
9651
#16
12.51.9
12.410.5
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed