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Red42
46941.6
719627.7
965112.5
Blue20
97519.7
48546.0
835219.6
71%Model gave it29%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6344020801001204220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+26Teleop
+28Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
1Coral points9
10Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +25
5Coral scored#1
18Coral points3
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
28Total teleop3
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#3
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points6
42Total score20

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#1
41.62.4
28.325.9
Auto9.7
Teleop28.9
End3.0
red by 22.1
19.63.1
16.012.9
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End1.3
Second
27.72.4
15.613.2
Auto6.0
Teleop20.7
End1.0
red by 18.0
9751
#26
9.73.1
15.112.0
Auto2.9
Teleop5.1
End1.7
Third
9651
#16
12.52.4
10.58.2
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End1.5
red by 6.5
4854
#28
6.03.1
10.77.6
Auto2.7
Teleop1.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed