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Red83
961820.1
46941.6
925519.4
Blue32
485119.7
60966.2
602920.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions583502040801008332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+51Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +51
17Coral scored#4
60Coral points13
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
70Total teleop19
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#1
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
83Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#1
41.63.4
25.929.3
Auto9.7
Teleop28.9
End3.0
red by 20.7
20.90.5
12.512.0
Auto4.8
Teleop8.0
End8.1
Second
9618
#25
20.13.4
13.316.7
Auto2.1
Teleop16.5
End1.5
red by 0.4
4851
#18
19.70.5
13.212.7
Auto3.5
Teleop14.5
End1.6
Third
9255
#23
19.42.1
10.412.4
Auto3.1
Teleop14.9
End1.4
red by 13.3
6096
#36
6.20.5
7.87.3
Auto2.9
Teleop2.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed