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Red19
25916.6
564212.5
36196.7
Blue41
590126.6
835219.6
54789.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25490204060801001201941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+16
Fouls+22
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave3
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +24
2Coral scored#6
8Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
8Total teleop32
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#2
0L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points6
19Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5642
#19
12.50.5
9.28.6
Auto3.2
Teleop8.1
End1.2
blue by 14.1
5901
#11
26.60.9
20.419.5
Auto3.0
Teleop21.6
End2.0
Second
3619
#32
6.70.9
8.37.4
Auto1.8
Teleop3.5
End1.4
blue by 12.9
19.60.9
12.912.0
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End1.3
Third
2591
#39
6.60.9
9.78.8
Auto1.9
Teleop4.1
End0.6
blue by 2.6
5478
#38
9.20.9
9.88.9
Auto1.7
Teleop7.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned