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Red20
71455.1
691413.2
267316.4
Blue16
519710.7
20484.9
71914.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402802060802016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+6Teleop
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +6
3Coral scored#2
10Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
14Total teleop8
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#0
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
4Game pieces#2
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
20Total score16

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2673
#13
16.42.5
13.210.7
Auto3.2
Teleop12.0
End1.2
red by 5.7
5197
#34
10.71.7
9.68.0
Auto3.7
Teleop5.6
End1.3
Second
6914
#15
13.22.5
13.811.3
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End1.2
red by 8.4
2048
#30
4.91.7
9.17.5
Auto3.2
Teleop-0.4
End2.1
Third
7145
#37
5.12.5
9.16.7
Auto0.2
Teleop4.1
End0.8
red by 0.4
7191
#24
4.71.7
9.17.5
Auto1.7
Teleop1.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed