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Red9
564212.5
55329.5
54789.2
Blue72
661615.8
46941.6
60966.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20540406080100972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+59
Endgame+63
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +20
0Leave3
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points20
3Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +39
2Coral scored#6
6Coral points23
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#4
0Processor points6
0Net points16
0Algae points22
6Total teleop45
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#4
0L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points0
9Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5642
#19
12.50.9
8.67.7
Auto3.2
Teleop8.1
End1.2
blue by 29.1
469
#1
41.62.9
29.332.3
Auto9.7
Teleop28.9
End3.0
Second
5532
#10
9.51.5
4.63.2
Auto3.1
Teleop5.1
End1.4
blue by 6.3
6616
#20
15.82.9
9.011.9
Auto4.1
Teleop10.8
End0.9
Third
5478
#38
9.21.5
8.97.4
Auto1.7
Teleop7.3
End0.2
red by 3.0
6096
#36
6.22.9
7.310.2
Auto2.9
Teleop2.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed16%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed