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Red85
719627.7
363214.5
819323.9
Blue65
786518.6
81532.4
97519.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545010203040607080908565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+16Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +16
17Coral scored#13
61Coral points47
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
73Total teleop57
Reef
5L4#4
6L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#16
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
85Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.73.3
13.116.4
Auto6.0
Teleop20.7
End1.0
blue by 4.7
815
#12
32.41.5
21.122.6
Auto5.4
Teleop25.9
End1.0
Second
23.92.0
20.622.6
Auto3.4
Teleop18.7
End1.9
red by 5.3
7865
#17
18.61.5
8.810.3
Auto3.2
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Third
3632
#31
14.53.3
9.613.0
Auto1.6
Teleop11.1
End1.8
red by 4.8
9751
#26
9.71.5
10.612.1
Auto2.9
Teleop5.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed