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Red77
20484.9
691413.2
1059016.1
Blue25
25916.6
267316.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362902060801007725

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+8
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +18
1Coral scored#6
2Coral points20
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
2Total teleop20
Reef
1L4#2
0L3#2
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#7
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
60Foul points0
77Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.11.7
13.211.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.5
blue by 0.3
2673
#13
16.40.6
10.710.1
Auto3.2
Teleop12.0
End1.2
Second
6914
#15
13.21.7
11.39.7
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End1.2
red by 3.8
9.40.6
7.87.2
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End1.8
Third
2048
#30
4.91.7
7.55.8
Auto3.2
Teleop-0.4
End2.1
blue by 1.8
2591
#39
6.60.6
8.88.2
Auto1.9
Teleop4.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed