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Red18
786518.6
20484.9
60966.2
Blue63
1059016.1
81532.4
25916.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26490204060801863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+49
Endgame+45
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
6Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +45
2Coral scored#11
6Coral points39
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#3
0Processor points0
0Net points12
0Algae points12
6Total teleop51
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#4
0L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#16
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points0
18Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7865
#17
18.60.9
10.39.4
Auto3.2
Teleop13.1
End2.3
blue by 13.8
815
#12
32.42.3
22.624.9
Auto5.4
Teleop25.9
End1.0
Second
6096
#36
6.20.9
10.29.3
Auto2.9
Teleop2.0
End1.3
blue by 9.9
16.12.3
11.613.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.5
Third
2048
#30
4.90.9
5.84.9
Auto3.2
Teleop-0.4
End2.1
blue by 1.8
2591
#39
6.62.3
8.210.5
Auto1.9
Teleop4.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed