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Red31
71455.1
43905.3
97519.7
Blue35
961820.1
587821.9
719627.7
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305902040801001203135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+14
Endgame+18
Fouls+4
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +14
2Coral scored#4
6Coral points16
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
6Total teleop20
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
14Foul points0
31Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9751
#26
9.71.2
12.110.9
Auto2.9
Teleop5.1
End1.7
blue by 18.0
27.71.4
16.415.0
Auto6.0
Teleop20.7
End1.0
Second
4390
#33
5.31.2
9.17.9
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End0.6
blue by 16.6
21.90.9
14.914.0
Auto3.8
Teleop17.1
End1.0
Third
7145
#37
5.11.2
6.75.5
Auto0.2
Teleop4.1
End0.8
blue by 15.0
9618
#25
20.11.4
16.715.3
Auto2.1
Teleop16.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed