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Red60
653218.3
309611.6
12320.0
Blue46
519710.7
36196.7
468030.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544302060801001201406046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+12
Endgame+10
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +9
5Coral scored#7
19Coral points24
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
23Total teleop32
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
30Foul points6
60Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#2
20.01.6
17.515.9
Auto4.2
Teleop14.1
End1.7
blue by 10.6
4680
#21
30.60.0
21.321.3
Auto2.7
Teleop26.9
End1.0
Second
18.31.6
16.815.2
Auto4.9
Teleop10.6
End2.7
red by 7.6
5197
#34
10.70.0
8.08.0
Auto3.7
Teleop5.6
End1.3
Third
3096
#29
11.61.6
10.08.4
Auto1.2
Teleop9.2
End1.2
red by 4.9
3619
#32
6.70.0
7.47.4
Auto1.8
Teleop3.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed