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Red25
961820.1
575616.3
71914.7
Blue59
65675.4
587821.9
590126.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40350102030506070802559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+34
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +28
3Coral scored#6
12Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
12Total teleop40
Reef
1L4#3
2L3#2
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
6Foul points6
25Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9618
#25
20.12.0
15.313.2
Auto2.1
Teleop16.5
End1.5
blue by 6.5
5901
#11
26.61.9
18.720.5
Auto3.0
Teleop21.6
End2.0
Second
5756
#22
16.32.0
15.413.4
Auto2.0
Teleop11.0
End3.3
blue by 5.6
21.91.1
14.015.1
Auto3.8
Teleop17.1
End1.0
Third
7191
#24
4.72.0
6.74.7
Auto1.7
Teleop1.5
End1.4
blue by 0.7
6567
#27
5.41.1
3.74.8
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed