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Red17
36196.7
653218.3
71455.1
Blue25
965112.5
54789.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312301040506070801725

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+6
Endgame+2
Fouls+8
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +6
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
4Total teleop10
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
2Game pieces#3
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
6Foul points12
17Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.31.9
15.213.3
Auto4.9
Teleop10.6
End2.7
red by 5.8
9651
#16
12.51.0
7.06.1
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End1.5
Second
3619
#32
6.71.9
7.45.5
Auto1.8
Teleop3.5
End1.4
blue by 2.8
9.41.0
7.26.2
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End1.8
Third
7145
#37
5.11.9
5.53.6
Auto0.2
Teleop4.1
End0.8
blue by 4.1
5478
#38
9.21.0
7.46.5
Auto1.7
Teleop7.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed