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Red33
48546.0
925519.4
519710.7
Blue36
55329.5
363214.5
43905.3
52%Model gave it48%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28270102040503336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+19Teleop
+21Endgame
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +13
4Coral scored#2
16Coral points7
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
20Total teleop7
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#2
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points24
33Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9255
#23
19.40.5
11.912.4
Auto3.1
Teleop14.9
End1.4
red by 4.9
3632
#31
14.51.3
13.011.6
Auto1.6
Teleop11.1
End1.8
Second
5197
#34
10.70.8
8.08.8
Auto3.7
Teleop5.6
End1.3
red by 1.2
5532
#10
9.51.3
3.21.8
Auto3.1
Teleop5.1
End1.4
Third
4854
#28
6.00.8
5.96.7
Auto2.7
Teleop1.7
End1.6
red by 0.6
4390
#33
5.31.3
7.96.6
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsEarned