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Red66
587821.9
54789.2
468030.6
Blue83
819323.9
485119.7
961820.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51670204060801001206683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+3
Endgame+5
Fouls+17
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +3
12Coral scored#9
43Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
53Total teleop56
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points12
66Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4680
#21
30.61.7
19.421.1
Auto2.7
Teleop26.9
End1.0
red by 6.7
23.91.3
23.024.3
Auto3.4
Teleop18.7
End1.9
Second
21.91.7
15.116.8
Auto3.8
Teleop17.1
End1.0
red by 1.8
9618
#25
20.12.1
13.215.4
Auto2.1
Teleop16.5
End1.5
Third
5478
#38
9.22.8
6.59.2
Auto1.7
Teleop7.3
End0.2
blue by 10.5
4851
#18
19.72.1
15.617.7
Auto3.5
Teleop14.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed