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Red60
71914.7
48546.0
590126.6
Blue18
47589.2
661615.8
36196.7
62%Model gave it38%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34260102040506070806018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+10Teleop
+12Endgame
+42Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +10
4Coral scored#3
16Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
20Total teleop10
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#3
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
30Foul points0
60Total score18

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5901
#11
26.60.2
20.520.3
Auto3.0
Teleop21.6
End2.0
red by 10.8
6616
#20
15.80.9
10.09.2
Auto4.1
Teleop10.8
End0.9
Second
4854
#28
6.00.2
6.76.5
Auto2.7
Teleop1.7
End1.6
blue by 3.2
4758
#40
9.20.9
10.39.4
Auto1.5
Teleop6.4
End1.3
Third
7191
#24
4.70.2
4.74.5
Auto1.7
Teleop1.5
End1.4
blue by 2.0
3619
#32
6.70.9
5.54.7
Auto1.8
Teleop3.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed