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Red26
60966.2
653218.3
363214.5
Blue26
575616.3
97519.7
1059016.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35430102030506070802626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
0Teleop0
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +6
2Coral scored#4
8Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
8Total teleop14
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
26Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.3
Auto4.9
Teleop10.6
End2.7
red by 2.0
5756
#22
16.3
Auto2.0
Teleop11.0
End3.3
Second
3632
#31
14.5
Auto1.6
Teleop11.1
End1.8
blue by 1.5
16.1
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.5
Third
6096
#36
6.2
Auto2.9
Teleop2.0
End1.3
blue by 3.5
9751
#26
9.7
Auto2.9
Teleop5.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed