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Red63
267316.4
20484.9
835219.6
Blue57
71455.1
468030.6
961820.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31480204060801006357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+2
0Endgame0
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
13Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +12
8Coral scored#8
28Coral points30
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
0Processor points6
12Net points16
12Algae points22
40Total teleop52
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#2
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
6Foul points0
63Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.62.1
9.912.0
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End1.3
blue by 11.1
4680
#21
30.60.5
21.121.5
Auto2.7
Teleop26.9
End1.0
Second
2673
#13
16.42.1
14.016.0
Auto3.2
Teleop12.0
End1.2
blue by 3.7
9618
#25
20.10.8
15.416.1
Auto2.1
Teleop16.5
End1.5
Third
2048
#30
4.92.1
3.05.0
Auto3.2
Teleop-0.4
End2.1
blue by 0.2
7145
#37
5.10.8
2.83.6
Auto0.2
Teleop4.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsEarned8%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed