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Red24
485119.7
36196.7
71914.7
Blue129
55329.5
719627.7
609922.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2547040608010012024129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+43
Endgame+43
Fouls+105
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +37
3Coral scored#8
12Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#4
0Processor points6
0Net points16
0Algae points22
12Total teleop49
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +105
0Foul points62
24Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4851
#18
19.70.3
17.717.4
Auto3.5
Teleop14.5
End1.6
blue by 8.0
27.72.9
19.222.1
Auto6.0
Teleop20.7
End1.0
Second
3619
#32
6.70.3
4.74.3
Auto1.8
Teleop3.5
End1.4
blue by 15.9
22.62.9
16.919.8
Auto5.0
Teleop15.7
End1.9
Third
7191
#24
4.70.3
4.54.2
Auto1.7
Teleop1.5
End1.4
blue by 4.8
5532
#10
9.52.9
4.67.5
Auto3.1
Teleop5.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsEarned