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Red75
12320.0
590126.6
786518.6
Blue70
81532.4
47589.2
819323.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions517602040601001207570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+1Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
12Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +1
12Coral scored#11
43Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
57Total teleop58
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#4
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#16
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
75Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5901
#11
26.62.9
20.323.2
Auto3.0
Teleop21.6
End2.0
blue by 5.8
815
#12
32.40.6
27.628.3
Auto5.4
Teleop25.9
End1.0
Second
123
#2
20.02.9
13.716.6
Auto4.2
Teleop14.1
End1.7
blue by 3.9
23.90.4
24.324.6
Auto3.4
Teleop18.7
End1.9
Third
7865
#17
18.62.9
12.115.0
Auto3.2
Teleop13.1
End2.3
red by 9.4
4758
#40
9.20.6
9.410.0
Auto1.5
Teleop6.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed