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Red58
1059016.1
519710.7
46941.6
Blue46
575616.3
65675.4
564212.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71270204060801001201405846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+18Teleop
+18Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave6
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +1
4Coral scored#3
13Coral points12
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
17Total teleop16
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
12Foul points18
58Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#1
41.61.7
39.437.7
Auto9.7
Teleop28.9
End3.0
red by 25.3
5756
#22
16.30.2
13.413.2
Auto2.0
Teleop11.0
End3.3
Second
16.11.7
13.912.2
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.5
red by 3.6
5642
#19
12.50.1
8.88.7
Auto3.2
Teleop8.1
End1.2
Third
5197
#34
10.71.7
8.06.3
Auto3.7
Teleop5.6
End1.3
red by 5.4
6567
#27
5.40.1
7.37.2
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed