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Red29
43905.3
36196.7
691413.2
Blue122
587821.9
46941.6
81532.4
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1710105015029122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+91
Endgame+93
Fouls+93
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +81
5Coral scored#16
17Coral points56
0Processor algae#3
1Net algae#7
0Processor points18
4Net points28
4Algae points46
21Total teleop102
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#6
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +93
0Foul points0
29Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6914
#15
13.20.2
13.313.0
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End1.2
blue by 28.4
469
#1
41.63.4
37.741.1
Auto9.7
Teleop28.9
End3.0
Second
3619
#32
6.70.2
4.34.1
Auto1.8
Teleop3.5
End1.4
blue by 25.7
815
#12
32.43.4
28.331.7
Auto5.4
Teleop25.9
End1.0
Third
4390
#33
5.30.2
4.74.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End0.6
blue by 16.6
21.92.2
15.117.3
Auto3.8
Teleop17.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed