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Red36
602920.9
965112.5
20484.9
Blue38
309611.6
485119.7
363214.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324402060801003638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +9
6Leave3
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
12Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +23
2Coral scored#6
8Coral points21
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
8Total teleop31
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#8
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
36Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.90.5
18.819.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.0
End8.1
red by 1.2
4851
#18
19.70.1
17.417.3
Auto3.5
Teleop14.5
End1.6
Second
9651
#16
12.50.5
7.17.7
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End1.5
blue by 2.1
3632
#31
14.50.1
11.811.7
Auto1.6
Teleop11.1
End1.8
Third
2048
#30
4.90.5
5.05.6
Auto3.2
Teleop-0.4
End2.1
blue by 6.7
3096
#29
11.60.1
9.89.7
Auto1.2
Teleop9.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsEarned9%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed