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Red10
48546.0
54789.2
25916.6
Blue65
267316.4
468030.6
653218.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27680204060801001201065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+51
Endgame+55
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +45
1Coral scored#10
4Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
4Total teleop49
Reef
1L4#3
0L3#4
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
1Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points0
10Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5478
#38
9.21.7
10.18.4
Auto1.7
Teleop7.3
End0.2
blue by 21.4
4680
#21
30.60.7
21.522.3
Auto2.7
Teleop26.9
End1.0
Second
2591
#39
6.61.7
7.05.3
Auto1.9
Teleop4.1
End0.6
blue by 11.6
18.31.2
13.314.5
Auto4.9
Teleop10.6
End2.7
Third
4854
#28
6.01.7
6.54.8
Auto2.7
Teleop1.7
End1.6
blue by 10.4
2673
#13
16.41.2
16.017.2
Auto3.2
Teleop12.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed14%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed