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Red34
661615.8
97519.7
55329.5
Blue32
60966.2
71455.1
575616.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32260204060801001203432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+4Teleop
0Endgame0
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
3Leave3
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
12Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +5
3Coral scored#4
12Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
12Total teleop17
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
8Foul points6
34Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6616
#20
15.80.4
10.09.6
Auto4.1
Teleop10.8
End0.9
blue by 0.5
5756
#22
16.30.2
13.213.4
Auto2.0
Teleop11.0
End3.3
Second
9751
#26
9.70.4
12.211.8
Auto2.9
Teleop5.1
End1.7
red by 3.5
6096
#36
6.20.2
7.77.9
Auto2.9
Teleop2.0
End1.3
Third
5532
#10
9.50.4
7.57.1
Auto3.1
Teleop5.1
End1.4
red by 4.4
7145
#37
5.10.2
3.63.7
Auto0.2
Teleop4.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed