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Red63
925519.4
564212.5
587821.9
Blue78
1059016.1
961820.1
12320.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4241102030506070806378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +14
10Coral scored#11
35Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
49Total teleop63
Reef
6L4#5
2L3#3
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
63Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.91.4
17.318.8
Auto3.8
Teleop17.1
End1.0
red by 1.8
9618
#25
20.13.3
15.919.3
Auto2.1
Teleop16.5
End1.5
Second
9255
#23
19.41.4
14.816.3
Auto3.1
Teleop14.9
End1.4
blue by 0.6
123
#2
20.03.3
15.118.5
Auto4.2
Teleop14.1
End1.7
Third
5642
#19
12.51.4
9.510.9
Auto3.2
Teleop8.1
End1.2
blue by 3.6
16.13.9
12.216.0
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed