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Red55
36196.7
609922.6
965112.5
Blue43
54789.2
719627.7
20484.9
36%Model gave it64%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344202060805543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+4
0Endgame0
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
6Coral scored#5
20Coral points17
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
28Total teleop25
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#8
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
12Foul points0
55Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.61.1
19.620.7
Auto5.0
Teleop15.7
End1.9
blue by 5.2
27.70.6
23.223.8
Auto6.0
Teleop20.7
End1.0
Second
9651
#16
12.51.1
7.78.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End1.5
red by 3.2
5478
#38
9.20.6
8.49.0
Auto1.7
Teleop7.3
End0.2
Third
3619
#32
6.71.1
4.15.2
Auto1.8
Teleop3.5
End1.4
red by 1.8
2048
#30DQ
4.90.6
5.66.1
Auto3.2
Teleop-0.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed