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Red68
691413.2
590126.6
575616.3
Blue40
819323.9
60966.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions634602040801001206840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+26Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +26
10Coral scored#6
36Coral points20
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
56Total teleop30
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
68Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5901
#11
26.60.6
23.323.9
Auto3.0
Teleop21.6
End2.0
red by 2.7
23.90.7
24.924.2
Auto3.4
Teleop18.7
End1.9
Second
5756
#22
16.30.6
13.414.0
Auto2.0
Teleop11.0
End3.3
red by 6.8
10607
#35DQ
9.41.0
6.85.8
Auto1.6
Teleop6.0
End1.8
Third
6914
#15
13.20.6
13.013.6
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End1.2
red by 7.1
6096
#36
6.21.0
7.96.8
Auto2.9
Teleop2.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
10%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed