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Red34
81532.4
267316.4
48546.0
Blue44
925519.4
71914.7
653218.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions663302040801001201403444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +12
3Coral scored#6
11Coral points21
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
6Processor points0
0Net points8
6Algae points8
17Total teleop29
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
34Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
815
#12
32.42.2
31.729.5
Auto5.4
Teleop25.9
End1.0
red by 12.9
9255
#23
19.40.7
16.316.9
Auto3.1
Teleop14.9
End1.4
Second
2673
#13
16.42.2
17.215.0
Auto3.2
Teleop12.0
End1.2
blue by 1.9
18.31.1
14.515.6
Auto4.9
Teleop10.6
End2.7
Third
4854
#28
6.02.2
4.82.6
Auto2.7
Teleop1.7
End1.6
red by 1.3
7191
#24
4.71.0
3.14.1
Auto1.7
Teleop1.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed