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Red103
468030.6
835219.6
661615.8
Blue44
363214.5
1059016.1
602920.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5054020408010012014016010344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+51Teleop
+41Endgame
+59Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +51
14Coral scored#4
52Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
70Total teleop19
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
18Foul points0
103Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4680
#21
30.62.5
22.324.8
Auto2.7
Teleop26.9
End1.0
red by 9.8
20.90.5
19.318.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.0
End8.1
Second
19.63.6
12.316.0
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End1.3
red by 3.5
16.10.6
16.015.4
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.5
Third
6616
#20
15.83.6
9.613.3
Auto4.1
Teleop10.8
End0.9
red by 1.3
3632
#31
14.50.6
11.711.1
Auto1.6
Teleop11.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned