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Red30
363214.5
267316.4
609922.6
Blue70
653218.3
97519.7
46941.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6675020401001201403070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+32
Endgame+36
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave0
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points23
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +15
5Coral scored#8
18Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
22Total teleop37
Reef
1L4#7
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
2Foul points6
30Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.63.7
21.117.4
Auto5.0
Teleop15.7
End1.9
blue by 19.1
469
#1
41.60.5
28.828.3
Auto9.7
Teleop28.9
End3.0
Second
2673
#13
16.43.7
19.615.9
Auto3.2
Teleop12.0
End1.2
blue by 1.9
18.30.5
20.820.4
Auto4.9
Teleop10.6
End2.7
Third
3632
#31
14.53.7
18.014.3
Auto1.6
Teleop11.1
End1.8
red by 4.8
9751
#26
9.70.5
15.615.1
Auto2.9
Teleop5.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed