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Red13
25916.6
961820.1
309611.6
Blue19
81532.4
661615.8
691413.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions597102040801001201319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+8
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points4
6Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +4
1Coral scored#3
5Coral points9
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
5Total teleop9
Reef
0L4#1
0L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
13Total score19

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9618
#25
20.14.5
20.315.8
Auto2.1
Teleop16.5
End1.5
blue by 12.3
815
#12
32.44.7
25.821.1
Auto5.4
Teleop25.9
End1.0
Second
3096
#29
11.64.5
18.914.4
Auto1.2
Teleop9.2
End1.2
blue by 4.2
6616
#20
15.84.7
17.212.5
Auto4.1
Teleop10.8
End0.9
Third
2591
#39
6.64.5
14.29.7
Auto1.9
Teleop4.1
End0.6
blue by 6.6
6914
#15
13.24.7
18.513.8
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed