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Red25
602920.9
786518.6
65675.4
Blue3
54789.2
47589.2
71455.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32410206080100120253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+10Teleop
+16Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +7
2Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
7Total teleop0
Reef
1L4#0
1L3#0
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
2Game pieces#0
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
6Foul points0
25Total score3

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.91.5
14.012.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.0
End8.1
red by 11.7
5478
#38
9.23.9
13.79.8
Auto1.7
Teleop7.3
End0.2
Second
7865
#17
18.61.5
13.111.5
Auto3.2
Teleop13.1
End2.3
red by 9.4
4758
#40
9.23.9
11.37.4
Auto1.5
Teleop6.4
End1.3
Third
6567
#27
5.40.9
5.74.8
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End1.7
red by 0.3
7145
#37
5.13.9
13.09.1
Auto0.2
Teleop4.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed