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Red51
653218.3
609922.6
564212.5
Blue59
661615.8
925519.4
786518.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4847204060801005159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
15Coral points6
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +14
6Coral scored#9
20Coral points32
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
6Processor points0
4Net points12
10Algae points12
30Total teleop44
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
51Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.3
20.721.1
Auto5.0
Teleop15.7
End1.9
red by 3.1
9255
#23
19.40.9
16.917.8
Auto3.1
Teleop14.9
End1.4
Second
18.30.4
15.615.9
Auto4.9
Teleop10.6
End2.7
blue by 0.4
7865
#17
18.61.2
15.516.7
Auto3.2
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Third
5642
#19
12.50.3
10.911.1
Auto3.2
Teleop8.1
End1.2
blue by 3.3
6616
#20
15.81.2
13.314.4
Auto4.1
Teleop10.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed3%Barge oddsMissed