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Red51
363214.5
81532.4
54789.2
Blue56
965112.5
55329.5
691413.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions612902040801001205156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+1
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +5
9Coral scored#7
31Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
43Total teleop38
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
51Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
815
#12
32.40.6
29.528.9
Auto5.4
Teleop25.9
End1.0
red by 19.2
6914
#15
13.21.5
13.615.1
Auto3.0
Teleop9.1
End1.2
Second
3632
#31
14.50.6
11.110.5
Auto1.6
Teleop11.1
End1.8
red by 2.1
9651
#16
12.51.5
8.810.3
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End1.5
Third
5478
#38
9.20.6
9.08.4
Auto1.7
Teleop7.3
End0.2
blue by 0.3
5532
#10
9.51.5
7.59.0
Auto3.1
Teleop5.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed