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Red51
835219.6
485119.7
1059016.1
Blue27
65675.4
48546.0
71455.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57602040801001201405127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+34Teleop
+34Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave0
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +21
6Coral scored#2
21Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
29Total teleop8
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#3
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points10
51Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4851
#18
19.70.2
17.717.8
Auto3.5
Teleop14.5
End1.6
red by 13.7
4854
#28
6.00.3
2.63.0
Auto2.7
Teleop1.7
End1.6
Second
19.60.2
16.016.1
Auto4.3
Teleop13.9
End1.3
red by 14.2
6567
#27
5.40.3
6.46.7
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End1.7
Third
16.10.2
15.415.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.5
red by 11.0
7145
#37
5.10.3
4.14.4
Auto0.2
Teleop4.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsEarned8%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned