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Red102
602920.9
519710.7
587821.9
Blue30
60966.2
590126.6
97519.7
59%Model gave it41%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474320608010010230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+30Teleop
+42Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
9Coral scored#4
33Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
43Total teleop17
Reef
5L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#6
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
30Foul points0
102Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.91.9
18.820.6
Auto3.8
Teleop17.1
End1.0
blue by 4.7
5901
#11
26.61.0
23.922.9
Auto3.0
Teleop21.6
End2.0
Second
20.92.5
18.821.2
Auto4.8
Teleop8.0
End8.1
red by 11.2
9751
#26
9.71.1
11.09.9
Auto2.9
Teleop5.1
End1.7
Third
5197
#34
10.72.5
6.79.2
Auto3.7
Teleop5.6
End1.3
red by 4.5
6096
#36
6.21.1
6.85.7
Auto2.9
Teleop2.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed